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Fixed-price EPC risk

Business Model & Unit Economics · Contracting & revenue model

What it is

Engineering, procurement and construction contracts awarded at a lump-sum price fixed at bid stage, with the contractor carrying input cost, execution and schedule risk over a multi-year build

Price-variation clauses may cover some commodities but rarely all, and never cover productivity or delay

Impact on industries

  • The contractor absorbs steel, cement, copper and labour inflation across a build period during which prices can move far beyond the bid assumption
  • Margins are thin at bid stage in a competitive tender market, so a modest cost overrun eliminates the entire project profit
  • Execution capability is genuinely rewarded - a contractor who builds faster and buys better keeps the difference, unlike a cost-plus arrangement
  • Client-caused delays require claims and arbitration to recover, which ties up cash for years even when the contractor is eventually vindicated

Industries affected