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ARPU / premiumisation (telecom)

Business Model & Unit Economics · Unit metrics

What it is

Average revenue per user is the central telecom metric. Industry wireless ARPU reached about Rs 196 in the Mar 2026 quarter, up ~7% year on year, with the leading operator near Rs 254 against roughly Rs 214 for the largest by subscribers

Estimates put the uplift needed for a 15% return on capital at Rs 35-40 per user

Impact on industries

  • A pure margin lever - incremental ARPU on an existing subscriber carries almost no cost, so it flows through to profit directly
  • Removing entry-level prepaid plans and converting users to postpaid and bundled plans has lifted ARPU without tariff increases
  • Current levels remain below what 5G capex requires, which is why tariff hikes of 10-20% are widely expected in the second half of 2026
  • India is intensely price-sensitive, so hikes suppress subscriber additions and risk downtrading in the mass segment
  • The scale-versus-wallet-share divide now defines the sector - one operator leads on subscribers, another on revenue per user

Industries affected